Mumbai (Economy India): India’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to remain resilient in the coming years, with growth projected in the range of 6.5 to 6.9 per cent in the financial year 2026–27, according to a survey conducted by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
The projections are based on the RBI’s Survey of Professional Forecasters, which assesses expectations of economists and market experts regarding key macroeconomic indicators.
According to the RBI, professional forecasters see the highest probability of real GDP growth at 7.0 to 7.4 per cent in FY 2025–26, followed by a moderation to 6.5 to 6.9 per cent in FY 2026–27.
Growth Outlook Remains Strong
The survey indicates sustained momentum in the Indian economy, supported by:
- Strong domestic demand
- Government capital expenditure
- Resilient services sector performance
However, forecasters also expect growth to normalise slightly in the medium term amid global economic uncertainty and tighter financial conditions.
Policy Implications
The RBI closely tracks such surveys to gauge economic sentiment and guide its monetary policy decisions. A stable growth outlook provides policymakers with room to balance inflation control while supporting economic expansion.
The findings align with the RBI’s broader assessment that India remains one of the fastest-growing major economies globally, even as global growth faces headwinds.
(Economy India)
